Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -9.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-34.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -4.9 (-10.9) | 144.9 (-28.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -5.0 (-11.0) | 144.7 (-28.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -5.4 (-11.4) | 146.7 (-30.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -4.7 (-10.7) | 145.8 (-29.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#252) | -7.3 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#250) | -0.24 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#234) | -0.01 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#265) | 0.507 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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