Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | COR -340 COPP +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +15 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | COR -16.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -12.1 (+2.9) | 160.7 (+8.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -13.0 (+2.0) | 153.0 (+16.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -13.7 (+1.3) | 155.1 (+13.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -12.7 (+2.3) | 158.4 (+10.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#82) | -5.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#84) | -1.56 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#127) | -1.54 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#119) | 0.432 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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