Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -20.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -14.1 (+4.9) | 156.7 (+0.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -15.0 (+4.0) | 157.0 (+0.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -14.8 (+4.2) | 157.6 (-0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -16.1 (+2.9) | 157.8 (-0.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | HOF 83 – 77 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#89) | -9.4 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#148) | -2.18 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#132) | -2.71 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#116) | 0.346 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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