Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -5.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -3.7 (+4.3) | 140.2 (+5.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -3.3 (+4.7) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -2.8 (+5.2) | 140.1 (+5.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -3.1 (+4.9) | 141.0 (+5.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | RMU 88 – 76 MILW |
| Dec 7, 2025 | MILW 74 – 72 RMU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | RMU 72 – 59 MILW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RMU 81 – 79 MILW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RMU 71 – 60 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 5-16 |
| Home | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#310) | -8.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#334) | -3.25 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#319) | -4.72 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#338) | 0.372 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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