Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -26.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +30 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -24.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -23.5 (+6.5) | 144.4 (+1.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -25.0 (+5.0) | 145.1 (+0.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -19.3 (+10.7) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -20.9 (+9.1) | 147.7 (-1.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | TEX 91 – 54 RGV |
| Nov 26, 2020 | TEX 91 – 55 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 16-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#18) | -4.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#48) | 0.24 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#38) | 0.68 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#43) | 0.543 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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