Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -33.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -20000 RGV +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +37 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -31.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -29.7 (+7.3) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -28.2 (+8.8) | 148.0 (-3.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -24.5 (+12.5) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -30.6 (+6.4) | 146.0 (-1.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | TEX 88 – 58 RGV |
| Nov 26, 2020 | TEX 91 – 55 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#7) | -6.2 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#23) | 0.64 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.99 (#12) | 0.92 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.673 (#20) | 0.517 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 43.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.9% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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