Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -12.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-43.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -10.0 (-13.0) | 149.2 (-26.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -10.8 (-13.8) | 158.6 (-35.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -10.5 (-13.5) | 156.3 (-33.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -10.3 (-13.3) | 157.8 (-34.8) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | SYR 94 – 86 FSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SYR 66 – 62 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | FSU 90 – 74 SYR |
| Jan 24, 2024 | FSU 85 – 69 SYR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SYR 76 – 67 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#53) | 1.4 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#56) | -0.27 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#56) | -0.71 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#29) | 0.511 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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