Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FSU -185 SYR +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -3.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -3.3 (-7.3) | 149.5 (-21.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -3.3 (-7.3) | 148.4 (-20.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -2.6 (-6.6) | 150.4 (-22.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -2.6 (-6.6) | 150.8 (-22.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | SYR 94 – 86 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | FSU 90 – 74 SYR |
| Jan 24, 2024 | FSU 85 – 69 SYR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SYR 76 – 67 FSU |
| Mar 9, 2022 | SYR 96 – 57 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#84) | 3.1 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#94) | 0.33 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#88) | 0.61 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#126) | 0.504 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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