Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -140 SYR +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +39 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -1.3 (-37.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.1 (-37.9) | 150.9 (+2.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -0.5 (-38.5) | 149.7 (+3.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -1.1 (-37.9) | 150.4 (+2.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -0.4 (-38.6) | 150.9 (+2.1) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | SYR 94 – 86 FSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SYR 66 – 62 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | FSU 90 – 74 SYR |
| Jan 24, 2024 | FSU 85 – 69 SYR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SYR 76 – 67 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#101) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#83) | 0.82 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#107) | 1.10 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#101) | 0.524 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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