Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -18.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -13.0 (+13.0) | 144.8 (-10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.8 (+14.2) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.8 (+14.2) | 141.0 (-7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -13.2 (+12.8) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-0 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#76) | -6.7 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#58) | -1.62 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#61) | -2.07 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#23) | 0.391 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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