Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -7.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -5.9 (+3.1) | 139.0 (+14.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -5.0 (+4.0) | 139.2 (+13.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -5.6 (+3.4) | 139.4 (+13.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -5.6 (+3.4) | 139.8 (+13.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | PENN 77 – 57 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#198) | -2.8 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#193) | -0.30 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#232) | -0.28 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#198) | 0.496 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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