Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | PENN +145 TEM -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -1.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -1.3 (+18.7) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -0.7 (+19.3) | 142.3 (-8.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -2.0 (+18.0) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -1.8 (+18.2) | 146.0 (-12.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | TEM 81 – 72 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#217) | 1.7 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#252) | -0.05 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#224) | 0.37 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#213) | 0.514 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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