Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +22 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -18.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -15.1 (+6.9) | 152.4 (-2.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | AUB -15.3 (+6.7) | 151.3 (-1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | AUB -14.2 (+7.8) | 149.9 (+0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -15.2 (+6.8) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 22, 2024 | YALE 78 – 76 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#15) | 1.8 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#45) | -0.22 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#42) | 0.17 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#12) | 0.472 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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