Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -1400 YALE +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -14.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -11.0 (-13.0) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -9.8 (-11.8) | 142.6 (+11.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -10.5 (-12.5) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -10.9 (-12.9) | 143.7 (+10.3) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | AUB 86 – 64 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 20.5 (#5) | 6.4 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#7) | 1.34 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#8) | 1.64 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#8) | 0.595 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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