Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | IU -16.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -12.6 (+0.4) | 155.7 (-32.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -13.0 (-0.0) | 152.4 (-29.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -12.2 (+0.8) | 153.7 (-30.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -11.2 (+1.8) | 156.6 (-33.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-12 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#37) | -1.2 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#112) | -0.33 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#105) | -0.01 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#79) | 0.454 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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