Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -550 SIUE +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +25 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -2.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -4.4 (+20.6) | 133.9 (+1.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -2.6 (+22.4) | 134.1 (+0.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -2.6 (+22.4) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -2.5 (+22.5) | 134.5 (+0.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | BRAD 75 – 64 SIUE |
| Dec 7, 2022 | BRAD 56 – 54 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#260) | -1.8 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#333) | -0.41 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#334) | -1.11 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.368 (#329) | 0.457 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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