Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +225 BRAD -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +2 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -2.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.8 (-2.8) | 132.6 (-22.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.7 (-5.7) | 135.1 (-25.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.5 (-5.5) | 135.7 (-25.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.1 (-4.1) | 134.2 (-24.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | BRAD 75 – 64 SIUE |
| Dec 4, 2021 | BRAD 80 – 55 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#110) | 6.0 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#72) | 0.83 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#95) | 1.49 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#102) | 0.530 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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