Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -700 SIUE +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -11.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -12.2 (-1.2) | 134.2 (+4.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -8.9 (+2.1) | 137.7 (+1.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -10.1 (+0.9) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -9.2 (+1.8) | 135.5 (+3.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | BRAD 56 – 54 SIUE |
| Dec 4, 2021 | BRAD 80 – 55 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#133) | -4.3 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#108) | -0.17 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#122) | -0.57 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#63) | 0.464 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.