Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ULM -15.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -11.1 (+1.9) | 149.2 (+5.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -13.3 (-0.3) | 149.9 (+5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -14.5 (-1.5) | 149.5 (+5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -12.6 (+0.4) | 150.0 (+5.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | ULM 65 – 63 NWST |
| Nov 29, 2023 | ULM 74 – 70 NWST |
| Dec 10, 2022 | NWST 91 – 73 ULM |
| Nov 22, 2021 | ULM 96 – 66 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2020 | ULM 92 – 83 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#307) | -17.3 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#267) | -3.12 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#273) | -4.55 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#173) | 0.400 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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