Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -333 NWST +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | ULM -10.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -4.4 (-0.4) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -7.0 (-3.0) | 141.6 (+2.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -7.3 (-3.3) | 141.3 (+2.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -5.9 (-1.9) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | ULM 65 – 63 NWST |
| Dec 10, 2022 | NWST 91 – 73 ULM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | ULM 84 – 71 NWST |
| Nov 22, 2021 | ULM 96 – 66 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2020 | ULM 92 – 83 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#267) | -9.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#143) | -2.91 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#124) | -4.03 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#96) | 0.347 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 59.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.