Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -180 ULM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -16.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -8.9 (-10.9) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -10.9 (-12.9) | 139.2 (-11.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -11.2 (-13.2) | 139.2 (-11.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -10.4 (-12.4) | 138.0 (-10.0) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | ULM 74 – 70 NWST |
| Dec 10, 2022 | NWST 91 – 73 ULM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | ULM 84 – 71 NWST |
| Nov 22, 2021 | ULM 96 – 66 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2020 | ULM 92 – 83 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-11 |
| Away | 6-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#155) | -9.4 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#285) | -2.99 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#271) | -5.02 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#216) | 0.351 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.2% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.