Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +8 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -0.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -0.3 (+7.7) | 132.8 (-22.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -0.7 (+7.3) | 138.3 (-28.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -0.5 (+7.5) | 138.7 (-28.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -0.3 (+7.7) | 135.2 (-25.2) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | EVAN 82 – 51 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-10 |
| Home | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#298) | -1.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#331) | -0.32 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.30 (#326) | 0.34 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#324) | 0.469 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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