Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN -450 TNTC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +31 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -15.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -10.5 (+20.5) | 149.2 (-16.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -11.7 (+19.3) | 147.8 (-14.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -13.1 (+17.9) | 147.5 (-14.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -12.7 (+18.3) | 151.6 (-18.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | EVAN 59 – 51 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | -8.2 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#57) | -1.28 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#73) | -1.83 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#47) | 0.427 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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