Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -14.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -10.9 (-5.9) | 129.4 (-8.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -10.8 (-5.8) | 135.5 (-14.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -10.7 (-5.7) | 135.2 (-14.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -9.6 (-4.6) | 133.0 (-12.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#93) | -3.6 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#156) | -0.32 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#135) | 0.05 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#106) | 0.461 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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