Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -12.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -15.2 (+0.8) | 128.4 (-10.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -9.6 (+6.4) | 133.4 (-15.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -10.8 (+5.2) | 132.6 (-14.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -12.1 (+3.9) | 129.5 (-11.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | RAD 66 – 65 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#104) | -3.1 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#55) | -0.41 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#80) | 0.15 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#42) | 0.461 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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