They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Hope Coliseum · December 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -7.0 Away covered
O/U 140.0 Under
Money WVU -350 / RAD +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual RAD +1 131 Lost
Massey WVU -3.0 (-4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 134.3 (-3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 41% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WVU -4.2 (-5.2) 136.1 (-5.1) 63% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -1.8 (-2.8) 135.7 (-4.7) 53% ✗
Baseline ML WVU -1.1 (-2.1) 137.3 (-6.3) 49% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WVU -1.7 (-2.7) 135.3 (-4.3) 51% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 4, 2021 WVU 67 – 51 RAD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU RAD
Overall 9-23 16-17
Conference 4-14 5-11
Home 9-9 8-5
Away 0-9 4-12
Neutral 0-5 4-0
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 70.7
Avg Pts Against 76.8 72.9
Massey -0.6 (#184) 1.0 (#155)
Bradley-Terry -0.64 (#239) 0.63 (#130)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.57 (#223) 1.01 (#118)
RPI 0.482 (#200) 0.511 (#160)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU RAD
FG% 39.8% 44.4%
3PT% 32.0% 38.3%
REB / G 37.1 36.3
OREB / G 10.7 11.3
AST / TO 1.05 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 51.2%
TOV% 17.7% 17.7%
ORB% 29.6% 33.2%
FT Rate 26.1% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 14.6% 16.0%
DRB% 71.4% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 14.5% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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