Betting Lines
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -110 USC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -0.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -1.1 (-3.1) | 141.7 (-17.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -0.0 (-2.0) | 142.8 (-18.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -1.3 (-3.3) | 140.7 (-16.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -0.6 (-2.6) | 141.9 (-17.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#29) | 16.3 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#129) | 3.61 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#122) | 4.84 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#126) | 0.700 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 44.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 39.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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