Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +15 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -5.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.4 (-10.6) | 146.0 (-23.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.2 (-10.8) | 142.6 (-19.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -3.3 (-11.7) | 145.5 (-22.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.2 (-10.8) | 145.0 (-22.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | COLO 78 – 66 TENN |
| Dec 8, 2020 | TENN 56 – 47 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-6 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#110) | 14.4 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#97) | 2.24 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#120) | 3.60 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#80) | 0.614 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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