But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Bridgestone Arena (Neutral) · November 13, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -15.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money TENN -1400 / COLO +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual COLO +12 144 Lost
Massey TENN -3.5 (-15.5) — —
Massey Totals — 131.8 (+12.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 42% ✓
Baseline ML TENN -0.6 (-12.6) 137.7 (+6.3) 57% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -2.3 (-14.3) 138.5 (+5.5) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 4, 2021 TENN 69 – 54 COLO
Dec 8, 2020 TENN 56 – 47 COLO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN COLO
Overall 25-11 18-17
Conference 11-7 8-12
Home 14-2 13-5
Away 4-6 2-9
Neutral 7-3 3-3
Last 5 1-0 1-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.8 69.9
Avg Pts Against 57.9 67.1
Massey 6.7 (#44) 3.2 (#105)
Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#125) 0.59 (#105)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#118) 0.95 (#71)
RPI — 0.750 (#28)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN COLO
FG% 40.0% 43.7%
3PT% 31.8% 32.4%
REB / G 37.0 40.0
OREB / G 16.0 14.0
AST / TO 1.40 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 48.0%
TOV% 22.0% 20.7%
ORB% 42.1% 34.6%
FT Rate 13.8% 27.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 38.8% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 33.8% 21.4%
DRB% 77.8% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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