Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +29 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -3.1 (-25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -4.1 (-24.9) | 136.8 (-9.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -0.9 (-28.1) | 139.3 (-12.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -1.1 (-27.9) | 139.9 (-12.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -2.0 (-27.0) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | WAG 60 – 59 STBK |
| Dec 16, 2022 | WAG 58 – 55 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#203) | 7.6 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#162) | 2.19 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#168) | 3.98 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#204) | 0.558 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.