Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | WAG -250 STBK +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -14.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -11.1 (-8.1) | 128.4 (-15.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -10.7 (-7.7) | 133.7 (-20.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -11.6 (-8.6) | 132.6 (-19.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -11.1 (-8.1) | 130.6 (-17.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | WAG 60 – 59 STBK |
| Dec 4, 2021 | WAG 78 – 49 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#254) | -13.6 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#204) | -2.44 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#234) | -3.44 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#179) | 0.362 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.9% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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