Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | STBK -300 WAG +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -9.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -5.2 (-6.2) | 131.6 (-12.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -5.6 (-6.6) | 131.9 (-12.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -6.0 (-7.0) | 130.5 (-11.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -6.1 (-7.1) | 130.6 (-11.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2022 | WAG 58 – 55 STBK |
| Dec 4, 2021 | WAG 78 – 49 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#247) | -7.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#238) | -1.29 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#243) | -1.70 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#238) | 0.444 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 33.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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