Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | USF -14.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USF -11.7 (-12.7) | 131.2 (-2.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -10.0 (-11.0) | 130.1 (-1.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USF -10.7 (-11.7) | 129.8 (-0.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USF -10.8 (-11.8) | 128.3 (+0.7) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | USF 96 – 52 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 57.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#245) | -12.3 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#271) | -4.16 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#270) | -6.10 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#312) | 0.300 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.4% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.3% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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