And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · December 4, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -14.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual OAK +33 123 Lost
Massey OAK -12.3 (-20.7) — —
Massey Totals — 111.1 (+11.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 1% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OAK -13.6 (-19.4) 126.5 (-3.5) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OAK -12.0 (-21.0) 126.6 (-3.6) 17% ✓
Baseline ML OAK -15.3 (-17.7) 126.5 (-3.5) 15% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OAK -18.5 (-14.5) 126.4 (-3.4) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 OAK 86 – 74 IUIN
Jan 22, 2026 IUIN 103 – 85 OAK
Feb 12, 2025 OAK 82 – 67 IUIN
Jan 16, 2025 OAK 72 – 59 IUIN
Feb 17, 2024 OAK 107 – 59 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN OAK
Overall 3-26 20-12
Conference 1-16 12-7
Home 2-11 10-3
Away 1-13 7-8
Neutral 0-2 3-1
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 51.3 72.3
Avg Pts Against 68.4 69.8
Massey -11.9 (#341) 6.3 (#74)
Bradley-Terry -3.63 (#352) 2.71 (#20)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.27 (#352) 2.82 (#51)
RPI 0.267 (#357) 0.703 (#3)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN OAK
FG% 36.8% 43.4%
3PT% 27.3% 25.9%
REB / G 33.3 35.8
OREB / G 9.5 9.9
AST / TO 0.60 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.8% 48.5%
TOV% 28.2% 20.2%
ORB% 28.6% 29.0%
FT Rate 15.8% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 19.6%
DRB% 70.8% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 32.0% 14.6%

Game Analysis

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