Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 176.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -1600 IUIN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +18 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -19.5 (-37.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 186.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -17.5 (-35.5) | 167.5 (+20.5) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -14.5 (-32.5) | 163.3 (+24.7) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -16.0 (-34.0) | 165.6 (+22.4) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -17.9 (-35.9) | 169.1 (+18.9) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OAK 86 – 74 IUIN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OAK 82 – 67 IUIN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OAK 72 – 59 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OAK 88 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 89.2 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#110) | -11.8 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#95) | -2.28 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#108) | -3.05 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#54) | 0.375 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 35.9% |
Game Analysis
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