Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -550 IUIN +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -9.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -6.9 (+6.1) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -10.0 (+3.0) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -6.4 (+6.6) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -6.9 (+6.1) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OAK 86 – 74 IUIN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IUIN 103 – 85 OAK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OAK 82 – 67 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OAK 88 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#181) | -7.3 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | -2.38 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#182) | -2.80 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#139) | 0.384 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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