Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +210 OAK -258 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +12 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -7.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 180.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.6 (-6.4) | 165.1 (-5.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.9 (-6.1) | 163.3 (-3.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.7 (-6.3) | 166.1 (-6.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -6.0 (-6.0) | 167.2 (-7.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | IUIN 103 – 85 OAK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OAK 82 – 67 IUIN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OAK 72 – 59 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OAK 88 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#312) | 0.3 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#331) | 0.03 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#325) | -0.14 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#353) | 0.536 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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