Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +240 OAK -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +15 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -4.2 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.1 (-9.9) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.3 (-9.7) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -4.3 (-10.7) | 141.5 (+7.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.5 (-10.5) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OAK 86 – 74 IUIN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IUIN 103 – 85 OAK |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OAK 72 – 59 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OAK 88 – 66 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#313) | -2.3 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#333) | -0.39 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#327) | -0.47 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#339) | 0.495 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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