Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +800 OAK -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +22 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -15.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -12.7 (-9.3) | 144.8 (+9.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -12.7 (-9.3) | 145.5 (+8.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -13.6 (-8.4) | 140.8 (+13.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -13.0 (-9.0) | 144.6 (+9.4) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OAK 86 – 74 IUIN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IUIN 103 – 85 OAK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OAK 82 – 67 IUIN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OAK 72 – 59 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 15-5 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -17.5 (#360) | 2.0 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#357) | 0.76 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.21 (#355) | 0.80 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#362) | 0.563 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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