Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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74–15 on winners spread MAE 8.7 89 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas +19.3 147.6 90% 58–88 ✓
Kansas @ St. John's +0.7 159.3 44% 95–75 ✗
South Carolina State @ South Florida +10.0 130.1 82% 65–64 ✗
Colgate @ Northeastern +4.1 132.7 64% 69–74 ✓
Charleston @ Furman +8.9 160.2 80% 88–91 ✓
Coppin State @ Cornell +13.0 153.0 87% 77–92 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac -0.3 145.5 51% 69–59 ✓
Rider @ Iona +11.8 140.8 87% 54–80 ✓
Manhattan @ Siena -2.0 137.7 37% 77–72 ✓
Monmouth @ Niagara +2.3 137.9 61% 57–49 ✗
Fairfield @ Canisius -0.5 146.7 49% 74–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Illinois +6.1 140.8 77% 51–86 ✓
Bryant @ Houston +20.5 141.3 91% 44–111 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP +3.3 139.4 60% 72–69 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Louisiana +4.4 143.4 67% 67–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +13.9 127.1 87% 56–57 ✓
Iowa @ Purdue +8.5 163.1 77% 70–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Boise State +10.8 135.5 82% 58–63 ✓
Pepperdine @ UC Santa Barbara +12.9 138.0 86% 74–86 ✓
VMI @ Portland +9.7 139.9 81% 90–82 ✗
North Dakota @ San José State +11.4 142.4 86% 51–76 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Villanova +18.7 146.4 90% 52–81 ✓
Memphis @ Ole Miss +0.0 141.0 44% 63–67 ✓
Harvard @ Massachusetts +4.5 157.1 69% 77–87 ✓
Clemson @ Miami +0.3 142.8 54% 75–80 ✓
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee +3.3 139.5 64% 69–77 ✓
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -12.0 126.6 17% 78–45 ✓
Nebraska @ Indiana +13.0 152.4 88% 55–68 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin +11.9 138.6 83% 76–89 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +6.1 125.7 67% 58–72 ✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina +3.9 147.5 63% 64–74 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Loyola Maryland +8.2 134.0 77% 55–61 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Indiana State +2.9 151.4 58% 68–69 ✓
Binghamton @ Boston University +12.8 138.7 87% 63–68 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.2 142.2 48% 57–71 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Omaha -7.3 145.8 22% 92–81 ✓
Tennessee @ Colorado -3.3 145.5 38% 69–54 ✓
Yale @ Auburn +14.2 149.9 87% 64–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Western Illinois +13.3 146.8 87% 64–81 ✓
Georgia State @ Mercer +3.0 150.3 62% 77–83 ✓
Bucknell @ Hofstra +15.0 157.0 87% 69–88 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulane +3.2 137.2 59% 64–85 ✓
North Carolina Central @ UNC Asheville +6.7 133.7 73% 66–82 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Evansville +0.7 138.3 46% 51–59 ✓
Rhode Island @ Providence +5.8 137.7 73% 52–66 ✓
Holy Cross @ La Salle +9.2 136.8 80% 65–84 ✓
George Washington @ Charlotte +6.0 138.4 71% 79–86 ✓
Maine @ Columbia +10.1 134.2 84% 66–77 ✓
Louisville @ NC State -0.1 146.0 52% 73–68 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech +8.9 140.5 82% 80–61 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Dayton +13.2 132.2 87% 41–79 ✓
Delaware State @ Longwood +16.6 134.2 89% 58–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Bradley +2.6 134.1 53% 55–80 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina +4.0 143.9 66% 52–62 ✓
Northwestern State @ UL Monroe +13.3 149.9 87% 71–84 ✓
William & Mary @ Davidson +17.8 142.1 90% 46–70 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State +6.2 142.9 78% 75–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Ohio +9.2 146.3 81% 75–78 ✓
Little Rock @ Arkansas +19.1 148.3 91% 78–93 ✓
BYU @ Missouri State +2.0 143.4 49% 74–68 ✗
Grambling @ UConn +22.8 147.9 91% 59–88 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State -6.1 142.7 32% 68–66 ✓
Army @ Air Force +7.2 131.3 75% 58–76 ✓
Radford @ West Virginia +9.6 133.4 82% 51–67 ✓
Jackson State @ Illinois State +5.0 144.7 69% 61–55 ✗
Drexel @ Princeton +6.9 150.4 76% 79–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ DePaul +3.4 153.5 64% 68–64 ✗
Campbell @ VCU +4.8 121.5 63% 61–65 ✓
McNeese @ Wyoming +23.1 142.2 91% 58–79 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian +16.1 149.0 89% 65–98 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Colorado State +7.8 140.4 77% 58–74 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Temple +5.6 139.4 71% 72–81 ✓
Central Connecticut @ New Hampshire +15.6 141.4 89% 45–67 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State +10.8 158.6 85% 63–60 ✗
Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure +5.6 155.4 71% 65–68 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Lehigh -0.4 134.5 44% 81–75 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Baylor +24.8 149.0 91% 54–99 ✓
Toledo @ Michigan State +12.7 142.7 86% 68–81 ✓
Southern Utah @ Idaho -11.7 156.6 17% 81–75 ✓
Tennessee State @ Chicago State +5.6 140.0 67% 49–59 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Santa Clara +10.3 154.4 80% 78–75 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State +11.8 138.2 87% 82–95 ✓
American University @ Howard +11.4 150.8 85% 56–90 ✓
USC @ Washington State -0.0 142.8 48% 63–61 ✓
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +2.0 145.5 55% 78–73 ✗
Vanderbilt @ SMU +0.2 135.9 46% 72–84 ✓
Norfolk State @ Hampton -2.9 139.4 32% 57–58 ✗
UAB @ Saint Louis +4.7 149.9 66% 77–72 ✗
Wagner @ Stony Brook -0.9 139.3 43% 78–49 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.