If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
68–28 on winners spread MAE 8.2 96 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Lafayette @ Holy Cross -2.5 137.0 41% 74–79 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +15.5 140.1 88% 55–73 ✓
Cornell @ Pennsylvania +0.6 157.0 56% 65–79 ✓
Columbia @ Princeton +13.8 150.1 89% 69–84 ✓
Brown @ Harvard +1.8 140.7 59% 84–73 ✗
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy +6.4 138.0 79% 60–85 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +8.0 138.3 78% 71–61 ✗
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris -5.6 147.0 25% 78–77 ✓
Marist @ Fairfield +2.5 135.9 60% 60–51 ✗
Xavier @ Butler -9.0 132.7 23% 87–72 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +1.8 149.7 56% 75–84 ✓
Purdue @ Penn State -5.9 140.4 28% 74–67 ✓
Wichita State @ Houston +14.3 132.7 88% 66–76 ✓
St. John's @ Providence +6.5 147.4 75% 73–83 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall +1.6 140.6 60% 87–90 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +1.3 134.8 55% 50–60 ✓
Clemson @ NC State -1.9 149.1 36% 70–65 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire +9.0 129.0 83% 62–64 ✓
Duquesne @ Massachusetts +5.1 151.3 71% 78–74 ✗
Dayton @ George Washington -7.1 131.9 21% 83–58 ✓
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt +5.6 136.6 70% 72–70 ✗
California Baptist @ Chicago State -7.7 136.7 25% 56–58 ✗
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut -1.6 129.4 28% 66–57 ✓
Virginia @ North Carolina +6.2 134.8 75% 58–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Omaha -8.7 146.6 22% 71–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI +3.0 133.8 63% 72–56 ✗
Arkansas @ Texas A&M +2.8 146.3 69% 81–86 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma State -1.9 128.0 51% 51–64 ✗
Villanova @ DePaul -6.7 134.8 23% 79–64 ✓
East Carolina @ Temple +4.3 138.4 66% 75–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +6.1 146.3 72% 70–75 ✓
Hampton @ Gardner-Webb +13.8 135.4 86% 69–78 ✓
Syracuse @ Wake Forest +5.6 156.6 76% 74–77 ✓
Maine @ Stony Brook +13.6 140.5 89% 72–80 ✓
Kansas State @ West Virginia +7.7 132.3 84% 68–71 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +16.2 127.6 89% 58–72 ✓
Rhode Island @ Davidson +7.1 130.4 80% 68–72 ✓
VCU @ La Salle -6.8 134.6 22% 85–66 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Toledo +18.9 140.1 90% 63–94 ✓
Nebraska @ Rutgers +8.6 149.4 83% 65–93 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State -5.4 152.2 24% 80–79 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +10.4 148.6 85% 71–84 ✓
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe +0.1 149.5 48% 90–83 ✗
UT Arlington @ Georgia Southern +2.6 131.4 61% 73–74 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Western Illinois -0.9 159.7 44% 87–86 ✓
Western Carolina @ Samford +4.8 158.0 71% 60–85 ✓
Alabama @ Missouri -10.4 153.6 21% 86–92 ✗
Ball State @ Eastern Michigan +2.3 152.2 59% 78–72 ✗
Kansas @ Texas Tech +2.0 137.5 59% 67–75 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +2.8 135.1 61% 49–79 ✓
South Florida @ Tulane +6.3 133.9 77% 54–68 ✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +0.7 157.1 40% 74–65 ✗
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State +0.3 147.9 46% 72–67 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge +2.5 126.9 60% 55–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State +2.6 159.5 58% 84–95 ✓
Murray State @ SIU Edwardsville -9.0 143.2 17% 74–69 ✓
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman +5.2 135.4 65% 68–66 ✗
Southern @ Florida A&M -2.7 136.3 34% 80–66 ✓
UAB @ Rice -7.7 150.4 21% 80–85 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ UTSA -10.9 143.9 15% 79–63 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +9.0 146.0 82% 85–71 ✗
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +15.3 145.2 89% 71–79 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis Brooklyn +1.8 131.2 53% 69–61 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian +6.0 134.5 73% 82–72 ✗
Boston College @ Pittsburgh +1.3 126.3 58% 67–69 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +1.4 136.6 60% 67–56 ✗
Bradley @ Loyola Chicago +15.0 137.8 87% 71–78 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver +8.2 145.2 80% 74–93 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +9.5 144.4 83% 66–81 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +0.1 137.2 49% 68–57 ✗
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +15.9 152.1 89% 67–85 ✓
Belmont @ UT Martin -12.7 148.7 14% 81–55 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Radford +2.5 136.6 58% 73–72 ✗
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +13.7 147.4 88% 59–82 ✓
Baylor @ TCU -6.8 141.0 18% 76–64 ✓
Drake @ Evansville -10.9 133.0 15% 60–59 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green +1.1 154.0 62% 83–87 ✓
Morehead State @ Austin Peay -5.4 130.9 29% 66–55 ✓
App State @ Troy +1.4 132.7 65% 53–68 ✓
Stetson @ North Florida -0.4 136.8 41% 68–66 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama A&M -0.2 129.1 36% 78–71 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama State -2.0 133.9 45% 57–72 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +11.2 157.7 75% 84–82 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +3.2 142.9 64% 66–64 ✗
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +5.6 133.3 77% 66–79 ✓
Georgia @ Kentucky +17.8 151.8 90% 77–92 ✓
Tennessee @ LSU +6.6 132.4 77% 67–79 ✓
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +5.0 149.0 75% 54–67 ✓
Washington State @ Utah -0.9 138.7 52% 77–61 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ North Texas +10.6 125.6 83% 63–70 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +0.3 133.7 51% 72–68 ✗
Cornell @ Princeton +5.2 155.8 76% 70–72 ✓
Columbia @ Pennsylvania +11.0 147.1 82% 73–69 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville +3.2 135.3 61% 66–69 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Missouri State +6.3 143.5 70% 85–84 ✗
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +12.6 155.5 89% 93–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.