Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -7.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -8.7 (+4.7) | 146.6 (-8.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -7.9 (+3.9) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -6.9 (+2.9) | 148.3 (-10.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -7.7 (+3.7) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#348) | -3.9 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#332) | 0.17 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#327) | 0.17 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#323) | 0.499 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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