Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -1450 COLU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -17.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -11.0 (-15.0) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -12.0 (-16.0) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -12.4 (-16.4) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -11.9 (-15.9) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 76 – 67 COLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | COLU 72 – 67 PENN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PENN 92 – 87 COLU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PENN 93 – 78 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 1-13 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#217) | -15.2 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#230) | -3.23 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#219) | -4.33 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#223) | 0.287 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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