Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +16 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -8.2 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -3.0 (-19.0) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -4.6 (-20.6) | 134.5 (-6.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -4.5 (-20.5) | 135.2 (-7.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -4.7 (-20.7) | 133.7 (-5.7) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 84 – 70 VMI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UNCG 92 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UNCG 85 – 78 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 64 – 57 UNCG |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNCG 80 – 54 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#133) | -2.4 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#155) | -0.05 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#140) | -0.01 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#152) | 0.483 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.