Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +110 UNCG -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +7 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCG -1.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -1.8 (-5.2) | 146.3 (+16.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -2.7 (-4.3) | 146.4 (+16.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -2.1 (-4.9) | 145.4 (+17.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -1.7 (-5.3) | 146.0 (+17.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 84 – 70 VMI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UNCG 92 – 71 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 64 – 57 UNCG |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNCG 80 – 54 VMI |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCG 60 – 57 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#349) | -9.9 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#344) | -1.66 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#344) | -2.08 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#343) | 0.415 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 60.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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