Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -1.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -0.4 (-1.6) | 136.8 (-2.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -1.3 (-3.3) | 137.3 (-3.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.8 (-2.8) | 137.8 (-3.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -0.7 (-2.7) | 136.1 (-2.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
Game Analysis
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