Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -8.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -7.7 (+12.7) | 150.4 (+14.6) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -5.7 (+10.7) | 150.2 (+14.8) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.6 (+10.6) | 150.3 (+14.7) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -6.9 (+11.9) | 150.8 (+14.2) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UAB 71 – 65 RICE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UAB 90 – 89 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICE 94 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 10, 2023 | UAB 87 – 60 RICE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UAB 85 – 57 RICE |
Game Analysis
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