Betting Lines
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | NCSU -125 CLEM +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -3.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -1.9 (-3.1) | 149.1 (-14.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -2.4 (-2.6) | 152.1 (-17.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -2.9 (-2.1) | 153.3 (-18.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -2.6 (-2.4) | 152.1 (-17.1) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | NCSU 80 – 76 CLEM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CLEM 68 – 58 NCSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NCSU 78 – 77 CLEM |
| Mar 10, 2023 | CLEM 80 – 54 NCSU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | CLEM 96 – 71 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-10 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#139) | 8.6 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#174) | 1.22 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#164) | 1.80 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#192) | 0.565 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 41.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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