Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -2.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -0.3 (-5.3) | 147.9 (-8.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -2.5 (-7.5) | 151.3 (-12.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -2.1 (-7.1) | 151.5 (-12.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -1.7 (-6.7) | 147.9 (-8.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#269) | -3.8 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#246) | -1.61 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#220) | -1.93 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#159) | 0.408 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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