Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -13.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -9.0 (-7.0) | 129.0 (-3.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -8.7 (-6.7) | 130.4 (-4.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -9.1 (-7.1) | 130.6 (-4.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -8.7 (-6.7) | 130.2 (-4.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#161) | -8.8 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#261) | -1.95 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#251) | -2.65 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#222) | 0.391 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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